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Tuesday, June 18, 2013

2013 NBA Finals Game 6: Heat Tries to Bounce Back at their Home Arena



NBA fans got what they wanted; well at least San Antonio fans. The best "Team" in the 2013 NBA Finals, the San Antonio Spurs, is one win away from their fourth title in 10 years and this Tuesday night, they will travel to South Beach to face the Miami Heat in Game 6 of the Final series.
The Spurs took a 3-2 lead with their 114-104 victory Sunday night, leaving the Heat in must win situation before entering Game 6.  This is a highly uncommon situation for Miami, which not long ago closed the regular season as the team with the best record in the NBA.  To put in perspective, they lost only three games in three months, but just in the Finals series, the team has been bested three times by a squad that looks superior to them in almost any aspect of the game.  Another victory will put the Spurs 5-0 in the NBA Finals, joining Michael Jordan's 6-0 Chicago Bulls as the only NBA squads to make the Finals multiple times and never lose.
That does not mean the Heat is dead and that Spurs fans can start celebrating. Miami can still pull a victory on Game 6 and get thing even before closing the series at home on Thursday night.  In fact, the Heat is 12-0 since Jan 10th ATS after a loss, so this series is likely going to get to seven games. Miami will also host Game 7 on Thursday night. A win by the Heat on Game 6 will give the team a much needed break as they try to join the 1988 and 2010 Los Angeles Lakers and 1994 Houston Rockets as the only NBA teams to rally from 3-2 down by winning the final two on their home floor since the NBA Finals went to a 2-3-2 format in 1985.

But before you make any conclusions, keep in mind that the Heat - who won 27 in a row during the second-longest winning streak in NBA history – hasn’t been able to win back to back games in almost a month. But even if the Heat wins tonight, there’s some real value in San Antonio. According to the latest odds on NBA, the Spurs will enter the game as +6.5 underdogs, and knowing that this series had some blowouts (remember Game 1?), the Spurs look way better than the Heat, even if they don’t win tonight’s game. 
2013 NBA Finals Game 6 Odds:
San Antonio Spurs: +6.5-110, ML +260  
Miami Heat: -6.5-110, ML -310
Game Total: 191, o/u -110  
        
Official Pick: Spurs +6.5

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